Bayesian Decision Analysis

von Jim Q. Smith

350 Seiten, Hardcover

Kurzbeschreibung des Verlags

Bayesian decision analysis supports principled decision making in complex domains. This textbook takes the reader from a formal analysis of simple decision problems to a careful analysis of the sometimes very complex and data rich structures confronted by practitioners. The book contains basic material on subjective probability theory and multi-attribute utility theory, event and decision trees, Bayesian networks, influence diagrams and causal Bayesian networks. The author demonstrates when and how the theory can be successfully applied to a given decision problem, how data can be sampled and expert judgements elicited to support this analysis, and when and how an effective Bayesian decision analysis can be implemented. Evolving from a third-year undergraduate course taught by the author over many years, all of the material in this book will be accessible to a student who has completed introductory courses in probability and mathematical statistics.

• Themen: Mathematik und Naturwissenschaften Mathematik Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung und Statistik
• ISBN: 9780521764544
• Sprache: Englisch
• Erscheinungsdatum: 23.09.2010
• Größe: 250 x 175 mm
• Verlag: Cambridge University Press