A Multi-Layer Framework for Modelling Resilience in Waterway-Dependent Supply Chains Using Reliability Theory

A Case Study of the West German Canal System

von Johannes Milan Gast

163 Seiten, Taschenbuch

Kurzbeschreibung des Verlags

Disruptions to waterway infrastructure like lock closures impose substantial economic costs. Their effect on supply chain resilience, however, remains limited. This dissertation develops a multi-layer, multi-state resilience model for waterway-dependent supply chains grounded in reliability theory, linking the infrastructure, transportation, supply chain and industry layers. Using the West German canal system as a case study, the model quantifies the system-wide cost of infrastructure disruption (about seven million euros per day) and evaluates mitigation strategies such as modal shift and warning time. Furthermore, this dissertation identifies the novel "shuttling effect", a cyclical phenomenon that is distinct from the ripple effect. The effect arises from repeated short-term capacity constraints in shared, capacitated infrastructure.

• Reihe: Innovationen für die Maritime Logistik / Innovations for maritime logistics
• Themen: Wirtschaftswissenschaft, Finanzen, Betriebswirtschaft und Management Industrien und Branchenstudien Transport- und Verkehrswirtschaft
• ISBN: 9783839622070
• Sprache: Englisch
• Erscheinungsdatum: 13.08.2026
• Größe: 24 x 17 cm
• Verlag: Fraunhofer Verlag
• Herausgegeben von: Carlos Jahn, Fraunhofer CML, Hamburg