Foundations of Utility and Risk Theory with Applications

494 Seiten, Taschenbuch

Kurzbeschreibung des Verlags

In this volume we present some o~ the papers that were delivered at FUR-82 - the First International Con~erence on Foundations o~ Utility and Risk Theory in Oslo, June 1982. The purpose o~ the con~erence was to provide a ~orum within which scientists could report on interesting applications o~ modern decision theory and exchange ideas about controversial issues in the ~oundations o~ the theory o~ choice under un certainty. With that purpose in mind we have selected a mixture of applied and theoretical papers that we hope will appeal to a wide spectrum o~ readers ~rom graduate students in social science departments and business schools to people involved in making hardheaded decisions in business and government. In an introductory article Ole Hagen gives an overview o~ various paradoxes in utility and risk theory and discusses these in the light o~ scientific methodology. He concludes the article by calling ~or joint efforts to provide decision makers with warkable theories. Kenneth Arrow takes up the same issue on a broad basis in his paper where he discusses the implications o~ behavior under uncertainty for policy. In the theoretical papers the reader will ~ind attempts at de~initive Statements of the meaning o~ old concepts and suggestions for the adoption o~ new concepts. For instance, Maurice Allais discusses four di~ferent interpretations o~ the axioms o~ probability and explains the need ~or an empirical characterization o~ the concept of chance.

• Reihe: Theory and Decision Library
• Themen: Gesellschaft und Sozialwissenschaften Soziologie und Anthropologie Soziologie
• ISBN: 9789048183647
• Sprache: Englisch
• Erscheinungsdatum: 25.12.2010
• Größe: 23.5 x 15.5 cm
• Verlag: Springer Netherland
• Herausgegeben von: Bernt P. Stigum, Fred Wenstøp